US Presidential Election: The Last Polls Before the Voting

US Presidential Election: The Last Polls Before the Voting 

We are marching in the final days of the US Presidential Election 2024 on 5th November. Before voting day, the last phase of surveys was completed, and the results still define a cliffhanger between the two nominees.  

Both Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris have stood strong in their respective regions, but the most interesting thing is the critical position of swing states that can tilt the results in anyone’s favor.  

October Opinion Polls: Harris or Trump…? 

The latest polls conducted in October depicted a close encounter between them. Let’s check out the major ones; 

  • ABC/Ipsos poll stated that Harris is leading by 4% points (51-47) in its latest polls released on Sunday. 
  • They both tied for 48% in the survey conducted by Times/Sienna.  
  • CBS/YouGov also reported a slight lead in favor of Harris 50-49 which was 51-48 in mid-October. 
  • A survey from Emerson College released on Saturday tied both at 49%.  
  • CNN/SSRS poll also showed them at a deadlock situation of 47% that depicted a downgrade trend for Harris. 
  • Trump secured a lead in CNBC survey and Wall Street Journal surveys securing 48% to 46 and 47% to 45 percent votes respectively. 
  • While An Economist survey illustrated Harris ahead of Trump by three points (49-46%). 

Why Such Swing…? Key Issues Shaping Voters Sentiment 

There are specific issues that determine how the core voters of both the nominees will vote. For instance, Harris is getting public support on issues such as healthcare, environmental protection, and social justice. Meanwhile, Trump’s supporters like his stance on economic growth, public security, and conservative values. 

Moreover, the voters who are still not sure can vote for the one who can address inflation better. 

The Countdown Begins for the US Presidential Election 2024 

As the citizens of the US brace for election day (5th November), these last rounds of surveys have shown that it will not be a cakewalk for any of them. 

Currently, they are in a virtual tie and that means the result will depend largely on a handful of swing states and voter turnout rates. 

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